Market coverage & investment universe

Selective, depth-weighted, and liquid.

Five asset classes across three geographic tiers. Acies tracks only instruments for which it has genuine analytical depth and which are liquid enough to be actionable. Breadth for its own sake is not an objective.

Primary asset class

Foreign exchange

FX is the primary vehicle for macro expression — the most liquid, most efficiently priced markets in the world, where policy and risk appetite manifest faster and with greater clarity than in equity or credit.

TIER
PAIRS
THESIS DRIVER
G3 / Major CrossesEUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPYUS–Europe & US–Japan macro divergence; relative central-bank trajectories
Commodity CurrenciesAUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CADCommodity cycle; China industrial-demand proxy
EM AmericasUSD/MXN, USD/BRL, USD/COPEM carry; US–LatAm growth differential; political risk premium
EM BroadUSD/ZAR, USD/INR, USD/TRYGlobal EM risk sentiment; terms of trade; geopolitical premium

Secondary asset class

Equities

United States

S&P 500 components, sector ETFs (XLF, XLE, XLI, XLK)

Rate sensitivity; dollar impact on multinational earnings; sector rotation

Mexico — US listed

ADRs: FMX, AMX, CX · OTC: BMBOY

USD-revenue composition; peso exposure; nearshoring beneficiaries

Mexico — BMV listed

BMV equities · FIBRAs: FUNO11, FIBRAMQ, Fibra Mty

Peso-denominated exposure; FIBRA yield vs. CETES; nearshoring real estate

Emerging Markets

EEM, VWO, MCHI, EWW, EMXC

EM cycle positioning; Mexico vs. broad-EM relative value

Europe & Japan

EZU, EWG, EWU, EWJ

DM cycle divergence; ECB / BOE / BOJ policy impact

Fixed Income

Rate-expression ETFs only — TLT and IEF for duration, HYG as a risk-appetite gauge, EMB for cross-asset EM. Not held for yield.

Commodities

Macro-expression instruments — GLD (dollar-inverse / uncertainty), USO (geopolitical & growth proxy), COPX (China industrial demand). No direct futures.

Positioning bias

The FX regime framework

Before identifying positions, Acies classifies the prevailing regime on two axes — USD direction and global risk appetite. The regime is published in every weekly issue and governs the directional bias of new ideas. Regime transitions get dedicated treatment.

Regime I

Risk-On USD Weakness

USD
Weakening
Risk
Risk-On
Regime II

Risk-On USD Strength

USD
Strengthening
Risk
Risk-On
Regime III

Risk-Off USD Weakness

USD
Weakening
Risk
Risk-Off
Regime IV

Risk-Off USD Strength

USD
Strengthening
Risk
Risk-Off